Ethereum (ETH) price continues to crash, and has now plunged below $1,800. It is down by almost 60% from its November high, and its weak fundamental metrics like falling active addresses, ETF outflows, and fee plunge points to a potential crash to $1,000.
Active Addresses, Fees Plunge, and ETF Outflows Hint at Ethereum Price Plunge
Ethereum price could crash to $1,000 in the near term. On-chain data shows that the number of active addresses has continued to plunge, a sign that some holders are abandoning ship. ETH had over 575k active addresses in January, a figure that has dropped to 333k today.
Ethereum active addresses
More data reveals that the ETH burn rate continues to drop as the fees generated by the network falls. According to TokenTerminal, Ethereum network has made only $222 million, a figure that is much lower than Uniswap, Solana, Jito, Circle, Tron, and Tether. Ethereum used to dominate in fees in 2024.
Ethereum Burn Rate
Additional data reveals that Ethereum ETF outflows soared to $403 million in March, bringing the cumulative figure to $2.36 billion. In contrast, Bitcoin has had over $36 billion in inflows since January last year.
Analysts have turned bearish on Ethereum price. Just last month, Standard Chartered lowered its ETH price forecast by 60% to $4,000.
On top of all this, ETH price is battling a period of extreme fear in the market after Trump launched his reciprocal tariffs that have pushed recession odds higher.
Technical Analysis Shows ETH Price May Plummet to $1k
A closer inspection of Ethereum’s weekly chart shows an increasing risk that the coin will continue falling soon. That’s because it formed a triple-top pattern between March 11 and December 16 last year. This pattern is made up of three peaks and a neckline.
In this case, the peaks were at $4,045, while the neckline was at $2,130. It has now plunged below the neckline, validating the bearish thesis. At the same time, the Average Directional Index (ADX), a popular indicator that measures the strength of a trend, has soared to 30, a sign that the trend is strengthening.
Therefore, measuring the distance between the top and the neckline shows that it is about 50%. A similar measurement from the neckline shows that it may crash to $1,000, which is about 42% below the current level.
Ethereum price chart
On the flip side, a move above the crucial resistance level at $2,130, the triple-top’s neckline, will invalidate the bearish ETH price forecast. It will raise the odds of the coin rising to $2,500.
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crispus
Crispus is a seasoned Financial Analyst at CoinGape with over 12 years of experience. He focuses on Bitcoin and other altcoins, covering the intersection of news and analysis. His insights have been featured on renowned platforms such as BanklessTimes, CoinJournal, HypeIndex, SeekingAlpha, Forbes, InvestingCube, Investing.com, and MoneyTransfers.com.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
